Life
Should you counter the offer — or just take it?
Countering feels risky, but "risky" is a feeling, not a number. Lay out the odds — they agree, they hold firm, or (rarely) it sours — and Sortia rolls the tree back to the expected value of each choice, so you negotiate with the math in front of you.
Get this in Google Sheets →The model
A decision tree, in thousands of dollars. Accept the $120k offer as-is, or counter for $135k — where they might agree, hold at the original, or let the offer sour to a weaker backup.
| Accept the offer | $120k (certain) |
| Counter → they agree | 50% → $135k |
| Counter → they hold firm | 40% → $120k |
| Counter → offer sours | 10% → $105k backup |
| Best choice | → solved |
What Sortia tells you
Rolling the tree back to expected value:
Accept$120k
Counter (EV)$126k
Best moveCounter
Downside10% → $105k
Expected value says counter — it is worth about +$6k on average over just accepting. The tree also shows the honest downside: a 10% chance the offer slips to a $105k backup. Now it is a clear-eyed choice, not a gut-check. Change the numbers and the odds to fit your own offer.
Try it in your own sheet
- Open Sortia in Google Sheets and choose Start from a template.
- Pick Job Offer: Counter or Accept? — the model loads with the inputs filled in.
- Change the assumptions to fit your situation and press Run.